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Joined: 13 Aug 2006 Posts: 29
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 3:38 pm Post subject: PLAYOFF RULES |
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The following rules are applied to the Madden's Cup play offs as well as the end of the year play offs. The final game play off game is the only one that is just a straight up match off because it is played on a nuetral field.
If you were doing well after 9 weeks you might want to know that this competition features a mid season play off that spins off of the regular contest. The regular contest continues will the 12 leaders (8 divisional leaders and 4 wild cards) vie for a trophy. There are many reasons why this mid season tradition came into being. One reason is that it is a good way for the leaders to become familiar with the play off rules and the importance of earning as high a seed as they can for the end of the year play offs.
Everyone knows that getting the home team advantage in the play offs in the NFL is crucial. It is also paramount in the NSPL as well.
The starting point is to know what seed you are and what seed your opponent is. If you are a #6 seed facing a #1 seed good luck. The seed positioning will be very important.
What matters next is your prediction of who will win and by what margin. Both you and your opponent submit one score pick on that game blind of what the other has picked.
A midpoint is found between the two predicted margins.
Example: You the #6 seed has picked (NE by 5) 26-21 and your #1 seeded opponent has (NE by 2), (23-21). The midpoint is 'NE by 3 1/2 points'
That midpoint then gets moved by the following formula:
SEED DIFFERENTIAL
#6 seed minus #1 seed = 5....we now add a constant of 3 points to that....if the midpoint started off as a whole number then you add another 1/2 a point to prevent a tie.
The midpoint gets moved from ' NE by 3 1/2 ...8 points to NE by 11 1/2.
You now need the Pats to win by 12 or more. Now some people believe that the push is too much. But how often has a #6 seed beaten a #1 seed in the NFL. ...And what a story that is when it does happen. I believe that this insertion of a bias variable is correct and very much a part of football. We all know what homefield advantage does to a spread.
Now... if you are the lower seed there are ways that the big shift can be reduced even nuetralized and here they are:
Bullseye Rule: If NE does win by 5 then the lower seed wins by virtue of the fact that he got a Bullseye. He said NE would win by 5.
Target Rule: If the lower seeded opponent gets half the score right. That is called a target and that nuetralizes the shift.
Hit Rule: If the lower seeded opponent gets a Hit ...that is when you get the predicted total points correct. In the above case it is 47 points. That nuetralizes the shift.
Target Rule and Hit Rule Exception: If the higher seeded opponent gets a target or a Hit while the lower seeded opponent ALSO gets one, then the shift will be removed except for 2 points. this rule supercedes any adding of points by way of Complete or Perfect games...etc. (See Below)
All or Nothing Rule: If one opponent has the favorite to win over the spread while the other has the upset then the shift won't be relevent if indeed the favorite covered OR the upset occurred. The winner will be obvious.
Complete Game Rule: If both had the winning team AND the correct side of the spread the shift gets reduced by 1 point. If only the lower seeded picker got a Complete Game then the shift is reduced by 3 points
Perfect Game Rule: A Perfect game is when you have the winning team straight up AND vs spread AND the correct side of the over/under.
If the lower seed got a Perfect Game while the higher seed didn't... then the shift is reduced by 5 points, but by only 3 if both opponents got a perfect game.
The point amounts listed above need to be added together where applicable. If you got the 5 points for getting a perfect game you also get the shift reduced by the additional 1 or 3 points for getting the complete game.
You may want to make sure that your score pick isn't dead on the vegas line for the spread or the over/under because that will hurt or eliminate your chances to pick up a complete or perfect game.
The shift doubles in size IF the higher seeded individual gets a Target or a Hit while the other side does not.
It is suggested that you request a transcript of your opponent's picks prior to making your pick. that may give you insight as to what kind of pick he tends to make. That may be your first step on making a pick to beat him. Also work this stuff out on paper using a few different picks.
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